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- BlackRock Dumped $673M. Bitcoin Dumped 20%. Only One Made Money.
BlackRock Dumped $673M. Bitcoin Dumped 20%. Only One Made Money.
BTC touched $99K, ETH crashed through $3,300, and $2.9B fled crypto ETFs in the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. Meanwhile, institutions extracted profits and Solana ETFs printed $417M in inflows. This week: why taking profits beats diamond hands, and how survivors play the volatility instead of riding it.


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The Strategy They Don't Teach Retail
How BlackRock Turns $673 Million 'Dumps' Into Profit: The Strategy They Don't Teach Retail
On November 6th, BlackRock moved $673 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum to Coinbase Prime. Retail panicked. Twitter melted down. "BlackRock is dumping!" "The top is in!" "Institutions are exiting!"
Wrong. Dead wrong. And if you think BlackRock dumping means they've lost conviction in crypto, you fundamentally misunderstand how winning is done in this market.
Let's talk about the difference between watching your portfolio number go up and actually making money. Because one of them pays your bills, and the other is a cope mechanism for people who don't know how to take profits.
The Move That Broke Retail Brains
According to on-chain tracking platform Lookonchain, BlackRock transferred 4,653 BTC (roughly $478.5 million) and 57,455 ETH (approximately $194.9 million) to Coinbase Prime on November 6th. This came less than 24 hours after they'd already deposited 34,777 ETH worth $114.97 million to the same address.
The transfers happened in deliberate batches: roughly 300 BTC or 10,000 ETH at a time. Not panic selling. Methodical, institutional positioning. The kind of execution that says "we know exactly what we're doing."
Retail watched this happen during a week when Bitcoin, Ethereum, and every major altcoin were bleeding red. And they drew the obvious conclusion: BlackRock sees the top. BlackRock is getting out. The bull run is over.
Except that's not what's happening at all.
The Number That Doesn't Matter
Here's what retail traders do: They buy Bitcoin at $90,000. Price runs to $125,000. They open their portfolio app seventeen times a day watching that number climb. They feel rich. They screenshot their unrealized gains and send them to friends. They calculate what their stack will be worth at $200K, $500K, $1 million.
Then price corrects back to $90,000. Suddenly they feel poor. The "wealth" evaporated. They're back where they started. They held through a 39% gain and a 28% correction and made exactly zero dollars.
This is the retail trading experience in a nutshell: confusing portfolio valuation with actual wealth.
Now here's what BlackRock does: They buy Bitcoin at $90,000. Price runs to $125,000. They sell. Not all of it, but enough to realize a profit of $35,000 per coin. That profit is real. It's in dollars. It's in their account. It can pay salaries, fund operations, distribute to investors, or sit in Treasury securities generating yield.
Then Bitcoin corrects back to $90,000 because, surprise, when institutions take profits, it creates selling pressure. Retail panics and dumps their coins at $95K, $92K, $88K because they're terrified the bottom is falling out.
BlackRock watches this happen with zero emotion. Then they rebuy at $90,000.
The Math Retail Refuses To Learn
Let's make this concrete with simple numbers.
Retail Trader:
Buys 10 BTC at $90,000 = $900,000 invested
Holds to $125,000 = Portfolio shows $1,250,000
Holds through correction to $90,000 = Portfolio shows $900,000
Profit realized: $0
Bitcoin owned: 10 BTC
BlackRock:
Buys 10 BTC at $90,000 = $900,000 invested
Sells 10 BTC at $125,000 = $1,250,000 received
Profit realized: $350,000 (in cash, immediately)
Bitcoin corrects to $90,000 due to selling pressure
Rebuys with original $900,000 capital = 10 BTC
Still has $350,000 in cash from the trade
Total position: 10 BTC + $350,000 cash
Or even better, they use that $350,000 to buy MORE Bitcoin at $90,000:
Rebuys $1,250,000 worth at $90,000 = 13.88 BTC
Bitcoin owned: 13.88 BTC (38.8% more than retail's 10 BTC)
Same starting capital. Same price action. Retail ends with 10 BTC and zero profit. BlackRock ends with 13.88 BTC. They created 3.88 additional Bitcoin out of thin air by understanding one simple concept: unrealized gains are meaningless. Only realized profits compound.
Why Institutions Sell Winners, Not Losers
Retail has this backwards. They sell when they're scared (at the bottom) and hold when they're greedy (at the top). This is why retail consistently loses money in every market cycle while institutions consistently win.
BlackRock isn't selling because they think crypto is going to zero. They're selling because they're SO confident in crypto's long-term trajectory that they know they can extract profit NOW, let price consolidate, and rebuy the exact same asset at a better price LATER.
This strategy only works if you believe the fundamentals remain intact. If you thought crypto was heading to zero, you'd sell and never come back. But if you know the asset is going higher over a multi-year horizon, these 20-40% corrections aren't threats. They're features. They're opportunities to compound your position.
Think about what BlackRock knows that retail doesn't:
Bitcoin ETFs have pulled in tens of billions in institutional capital
Regulatory clarity is improving, not degrading
Major financial institutions are building crypto infrastructure
Sovereign wealth funds are allocating to digital assets
The technology is scaling and adoption is growing
These fundamentals don't change because price went from $125K to $90K. The fundamentals tell you WHERE the asset is going. The price just tells you where you are in the cycle.
The Compounding Machine
Let's extend this over multiple cycles to show how the strategy separates winners from everyone else.
Cycle 1:
Institution buys at $90K, sells at $125K, rebuys at $90K
Now owns 38.8% more BTC than someone who just held
Cycle 2:
Institution buys at $90K, sells at $140K, rebuys at $95K
Compounds again, now owns 72% more BTC than the holder
Cycle 3:
Institution buys at $95K, sells at $180K, rebuys at $110K
Compounds again, now owns 124% more BTC than the holder
After three cycles of the exact same macro trend (Bitcoin going up over time), the institution that takes profits and reaccumulates owns MORE THAN DOUBLE the Bitcoin of the person who just held. Same starting capital. Same bullish thesis. Completely different outcome.
This is why BlackRock's $673 million move isn't bearish. It's the most bullish signal in the market. They're so confident Bitcoin is going higher that they're willing to sell now, crash the price, absorb the social media hate, and buy back cheaper. They're compounding their position in an asset they believe in.
Retail sees this and thinks "dump." Professionals see this and think "Tuesday."
Why Fundamentals Trump Price Action
We've been in crypto since 2014. We've watched Bitcoin fall from $1,200 to $200. We've seen the 2018 nuclear winter when BTC dropped 84% from $20K to $3K. We bought the March 2020 COVID crash when Bitcoin fell 50% in 48 hours. We survived Mt. Gox, the DAO hack, the ICO bubble, the China ban (multiple times), the FTX collapse, and every other "crypto is dead" narrative.
You know what kept us in the game? Not the price. The fundamentals.
Every single bear market, every single crash, the fundamentals improved. The technology got better. The infrastructure got stronger. The adoption grew. The regulatory framework became clearer. More developers built. More users joined. More institutions allocated.
Price is just the market's emotional reaction to those fundamentals in real time. Price tells you what people FEEL about the asset today. Fundamentals tell you what the asset will be worth tomorrow.
When fundamentals are strong and price drops, that's not a crisis. That's a sale. That's BlackRock selling at $125K and buying back at $90K. That's institutions extracting profit from emotional retail traders who mistake portfolio screenshots for wealth.
The Survivor's Edge
The crypto veterans who've made generational wealth didn't do it by holding through every pump and dump. They did it by understanding that volatility is a tool, not a threat. They took profits at highs. They reaccumulated at lows. They compounded their positions while retail rode the emotional rollercoaster from euphoria to despair and back.
BlackRock manages the world's largest Bitcoin ETF. They just launched an Ethereum ETF. They're building institutional crypto infrastructure at scale. They're not dumping because they lost conviction. They're taking profits because they have SO MUCH conviction that they know they can sell, watch retail panic, and buy back the same assets cheaper a few weeks later.
This is the game. This is how it's always worked. The only question is whether you're playing retail's game (watching numbers go up and down and feeling emotions) or the professional's game (extracting real profits, compounding positions, and focusing on fundamentals that don't change with every 10% swing).
We've been here for over a decade because we learned this lesson the hard way. We stopped watching price and started watching what matters: network growth, adoption metrics, infrastructure development, regulatory progress, institutional integration. Those fundamentals tell us Bitcoin isn't going away. They tell us corrections are buying opportunities, not exit signals.
BlackRock just executed a $673 million masterclass in how to win. Retail watched and learned exactly the wrong lesson. But that's fine. Somebody has to sell at the bottom so institutions can buy.
The question is: which side are you on?
Got a Second? The KillChain reaches 5,250+ readers every week including security professionals, executives, and anyone serious about understanding crypto. Know someone who needs this intelligence? Forward this newsletter.

Battlefield Intelligence: What the Numbers Truly Reveal.
Evolution Check: Last week we told you to watch $108K on Bitcoin, $3,790 on Ethereum, and $183 on Solana. All three broke. We've been doing this since 2014, and here's what a decade of surviving crashes teaches you: when every retail "expert" screams "buy the dip," smart money takes profits. When everyone panics and sells, smart money accumulates. Right now, we're in the transition zone.
Here's the reality: Long-term Bitcoin holders have offloaded around 400,000 BTC over the past month, approximately $45 billion. Between October 29 and November 5, Bitcoin ETFs recorded $2.05 billion in outflows while Ethereum ETFs bled $837.66 million. The U.S. government shutdown entered its 37th day, making it the longest in American history.
Is this bad? Sure. Is this new? Not even close.
We watched Bitcoin fall from $1,200 to $200 in 2014. We traded through the 2018 bear market when BTC dropped 84% from $20K to $3K. We bought the March 2020 COVID crash when Bitcoin fell 50% in 48 hours. Every single time, the same pattern: OG holders take profits, retail panics, institutions accumulate quietly, then the next leg up catches everyone off guard.
On-chain data shows whales are selling while retail traders remain 71.96% bullish. That's not a warning sign. That's the cycle working exactly as designed. OG holders who bought at $15K-$40K are booking seven-figure gains. Smart retail is holding. New institutional money is positioning. This is healthy market rotation, not collapse.
The standout signal? Solana ETFs attracted $417 million in their first week while Bitcoin and Ethereum products hemorrhaged capital. When institutions allocate $400M+ to a new crypto product during a broad selloff, they're not fleeing crypto; they're repositioning for the next cycle.
The Survivor's Perspective:
We've traded through Mt. Gox, the 2014 bear, the DAO hack, the 2017 ICO bubble, the 2018 nuclear winter, the 2020 COVID crash, the 2022 Luna/FTX implosion, and every other "crypto is dead" narrative. Every single time, the fundamentals improved, adoption grew, and price eventually followed.
This correction isn't different. It's just another chapter in the same story. The only question that matters: are you building positions while others panic, or are you selling to people who know how this ends?
We're still here. We're still accumulating. And we'll still be here when the next leg up catches everyone by surprise.
Let's see where we stand.
Battlefield Intelligence: What the Numbers Truly Reveal.

Bitcoin: $101,704 | Correction, Not Capitulation
Week-over-week: -7.15%
Bitcoin briefly touched $99,000 before recovering above six figures. The selloff came from elevated Treasury yields tightening financial conditions, five straight days of ETF outflows pulling nearly $2 billion, and long-term holder profit-taking. This is textbook correction behavior after a parabolic run to $126K.
ETF outflows finally stopped Thursday with $240 million in inflows, ending a six-day streak that drained $1.4 billion. BlackRock's IBIT led with $112.4 million. The fact that outflows stopped before Bitcoin broke $100K tells you everything: institutional floors are holding.
Here's what matters: Long-term holders (wallets that have never recorded an outflow) are steadily accumulating even as prices fall. Their realized price has climbed to $78,520. These are the players who bought Bitcoin at $15K-$40K and held through the 2022 bear market. They're not selling; they're adding to positions that are already massively profitable.
According to analysts, unless BTC breaks below $78.5K, we're unlikely to enter full-scale crypto winter. We're 23% above that level. This isn't 2018 all over again. This is profit-taking after a 300% run from the 2023 lows.
The technical picture is cleaner than sentiment suggests. Bitcoin broke below its 200-day moving average around $109,840, but that's happened before in every bull market. October 2020? BTC fell 20% and bounced. September 2023? Same pattern. The 200-MA isn't a ceiling; it's a magnet that price tests, bounces off, and uses as support on the next run.
The Balance of Power indicator shows buying strength quietly returning even as volatility increases. That's the setup we want to see. Volatility shakes out weak hands. Buying pressure from strong hands builds the base for the next move.
What we're watching: Bitcoin needs to reclaim $108K to confirm the worst is over. Above that, $113,600 opens the door back to $120K. Below $100K on a sustained basis triggers the next support test at $92K-$97K. But we've been through enough cycles to know: when everyone's expecting lower, the market typically reverses.
Key levels:
Support: $100K (holding), $97.5K (next test), $92K (strong accumulation zone)
Resistance: $108K (reclaim target), $113.6K, $120K
Context: November historically delivers 11.2% median returns for Bitcoin
November typically delivers around 9% returns for Bitcoin, based on historical median performance. The government shutdown is a headwind, but shutdowns end. ETF outflows reversed. Whale distribution is profit-taking, not panic. We've seen this movie before. The ending is usually good.

Ethereum: $3,384 | The Patient Man's Play
Week-over-week: -11.9%
Ethereum broke through $3,790 and continued lower to $3,384. ETH ETFs recorded $837.66 million in outflows between October 29 and November 5. That's painful, but let's add context: ETH is trading 31% below its August peak. In the 2021 bull run, Ethereum had five separate 30%+ corrections before hitting its all-time high. In 2017, ETH fell 40% in June, then 5x'd by December.
This is how Ethereum moves. Violent corrections followed by explosive rallies. The difference between traders and survivors is knowing when to accumulate.
Analyst Ted Pillows noted: "ETH is still hovering around the $3,300 level. If Ethereum loses the $3,100-$3,200 zone again, expect a correction to new monthly lows." True. But here's what he's not saying: the $3,100-$3,200 zone is where smart money accumulates before the next leg. That's been the pattern for a decade.
The challenge with Ethereum right now is narrative. Bitcoin has the ETF story and institutional adoption. Solana has momentum and new money flowing in. Ethereum has... a roadmap. The Fusaka upgrade is coming. Layer-2 solutions are scaling. The infrastructure is there. But markets don't pay for future promises during corrections; they pay when upgrades deliver results.
That's fine. We've held ETH through worse. The 2018 crash saw Ethereum fall from $1,400 to $80 (a 94% drawdown). The 2022 bear took it from $4,900 to $880 (an 82% drop). This 31% pullback? This is just volatility in a bull market.
What we're watching: ETH needs to hold $3,100-$3,200. Above $3,800, the structure improves significantly. Above $4,000, we're back in business. The Fusaka upgrade is the catalyst that changes sentiment. Until then, Ethereum is a patience play for people who've been here long enough to know how this ends.
Key levels:
Support: $3,300 (current), $3,100-$3,200 (accumulation zone), $3,000 (panic level)
Resistance: $3,790 (reclaim target), $4,000 (psychological), $4,300
Catalyst: Fusaka upgrade featuring PeerDAS to increase data blob capacity from 6 to 48 per block
We've been accumulating Ethereum since 2016. This isn't our first correction. It won't be our last. The fundamentals haven't changed: the infrastructure keeps improving, adoption keeps growing, and eventually, price follows. This is what diamond hands look like.

Solana: $157.43 | The Institutional Vote of Confidence
Week-over-week: -15.6%
Solana fell 15.6% this week, trading at $157.43 after touching $205 just before the ETF launch. SOL tumbled nearly 20% in the week following its ETF debut. If you're looking at price alone, you'd think the ETF launch was a disaster.
But zoom out. Solana ETFs attracted $417 million in their first week, ranking among the top 20 ETFs across all asset classes by net inflows. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted BSOL led all crypto ETPs "by a country mile" in weekly flows, ranking 16th across all ETFs that week (outperforming even BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF).
Let that sink in. During the worst week for crypto in months, with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs bleeding billions, institutional investors poured $417 million into a brand-new Solana product. That's not a trade. That's a statement.
For six consecutive trading days starting October 28, Solana ETFs printed positive flows while Bitcoin and Ethereum funds hemorrhaged $797 million in single-day outflows. We've watched enough ETF launches to know what this means: Wall Street sees Solana as a generational opportunity at these prices.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan explains the thesis: "Solana is a challenger asset with potential for really significant upside. If stablecoins and tokenization get bigger, Solana wins. If Solana takes bigger market share, Solana wins. If both happen, the upside is substantial."
The infrastructure backs it up. BlackRock's BUILDL fund on Solana crossed $250 million, with accelerated growth since September. Major stablecoin projects are choosing Solana for settlement. The network handles volume without breaking a sweat while other chains struggle with congestion.
The price weakness despite strong ETF demand suggests capital came from asset rotations rather than fresh capital injection. Translation: institutions are swapping other positions for Solana exposure. That's long-term accumulation disguised as short-term weakness. We've seen this pattern before. It's how smart money builds positions: buy when everyone else is selling, then ride the wave when sentiment flips.
What we're watching: SOL needs to hold above $150 to keep the structure intact. Above $175, we're back in the consolidation range that precedes the next leg up. Above $194, momentum shifts bullish. The $300 breakout is inevitable if ETF flows continue; it's just a matter of time.
Key levels:
Support: $157 (current), $150 (critical), $130 (aggressive accumulation)
Resistance: $175 (consolidation), $194 (momentum shift), $209 (pre-ETF high)
Target: $300+ when flows translate to price action
We've been in crypto long enough to recognize when the smart money is positioning. Solana at $157 with $417M in institutional inflows during a market-wide selloff? We'll take that setup every time.
⚠️ The KillChain Disclaimer ⚠️
Informational & Educational Use Only
All content in this newsletter, including but not limited to market commentary, tactical read-outs, “buy-zone” language, and any linked training materials, is provided strictly for general, educational, and informational purposes. Nothing herein constitutes (or should be interpreted as) personalized investment, legal, accounting, or tax advice.
No Investment Recommendations
References to “accumulate,” “scale in,” “trim,” or similar calls to action are illustrative frameworks, not specific recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any digital asset, security, or derivative. You alone are responsible for evaluating the merits and risks associated with any use of the information provided before making any investment or trading decision. Consult a registered investment adviser or other qualified professional regarding your individual circumstances.
About the FraudFather:
The Fraudfather didn’t learn fraud from influencers or movies. He learned it chasing terrorists, flipping money launderers, and dismantling multi-million-dollar schemes, before most people knew what “DeFi” meant.
A former Senior Special Agent and Supervisory Intelligence Operations Officer, he spent over two decades tracking financial predators across borders, blockchains, and bureaucracies. From dark web forums to government war rooms, he’s seen every lie and loophole up close.
Now a “recovering” digital identity and cybersecurity executive, he’s turned his sights to teaching crypto, where old scams wear new skins, and smart contracts get played like slot machines.

