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- From State Reserves to Private Credit: Is Your Portfolio Ready?
From State Reserves to Private Credit: Is Your Portfolio Ready?
Texas is stacking Bitcoin, tokenized private credit just hit $24 B, and scammers want your face. Today’s KillChain brief arms you to profit and protect.


GM. You’re reading KillChain, the tactical brief trusted by digital sleuths, fraud hunters, and crypto insiders who know the real game isn’t DeFi or CeFi; it’s deception.
We track the wallets, decode the scams, and expose the plays fraudsters pray you’ll miss. This isn’t crypto news. It’s threat intelligence. We’re the last line of defense between your protocol and the wolves, your tactical edge in a world where trust is just another exploit.
🎙️ Texas Buys the Orange Pill - A Fraudfather Deep-Dive
The Move
Last weekend Governor Greg Abbott signed Senate Bill 21, instructing the Texas Comptroller to create a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and seed it with $10 million in public funds. A companion measure (HB 4488) ring-fences the stash so lawmakers can’t raid it for potholes next session.
First U.S. state to put taxpayer money where its Twitter/X mouth is.
Reserve sits outside the general treasury and is overseen by a new advisory committee stacked with energy and fintech insiders.
Statute lets the comptroller scale the position far beyond the starter allocation. Internal draft models whisper a ceiling near $1.5 billion by 2027.
States like Arizona and New Hampshire passed “we-could-buy-bitcoin-someday” laws. Texas just wired the first tranche.
Why Now? (And Why the Size Doesn’t Matter…Yet)
Political optics. Trump’s Truth-Social crypto cheer-squad turned bitcoin into an election-year patriotism prop. Austin wants pole position when the campaign convoy rolls through.
Energy strategy. Texas already hosts ±40 % of U.S. hash-rate. Parking BTC on the balance sheet converts surplus electrons into a treasury asset.
Dollar-hedge theater. With D.C. running 7 %-of-GDP deficits, a sliver of hard-cap money is a headline hedge against fiscal drift.
Yes, $10 million is pocket lint in a $321 billion state budget. Think of it as a flare, not a flood.
Ripples for U.S. Readers
Angle | Implication |
|---|---|
States-rights flex | Texas just tested whether the Fed can complain when a state converts greenbacks into a bearer asset the central bank can’t print. If Powell stays silent, 20 capitols will copy-paste the bill template. |
Regulatory judo | By codifying BTC as a reserve rather than a speculative investment, Austin dares the SEC or CFTC to label state government “non-compliant.” Good luck with that optics war. |
Public-pension FOMO | TRS (Texas Teachers) and ERS (state employees) now face the question: “If the comptroller can hold BTC, why can’t we?” Expect board meetings with uncomfortable PowerPoints by Q4. |
Shockwaves for International Readers
El Salvador gets a rival. Bukele’s “Bitcoin Beach” no longer the only government treasury with skin in the game. A U.S. state joining the club normalizes sovereign (or sub-sovereign) stacking.
FX reserve precedent. Emerging-market finance ministers can now point at Texas when pitching a 1 % BTC allocation to parliament.
Hash-rate diplomacy 2.0. Energy-rich provinces, from Alberta to Abu Dhabi, may follow Texas: host miners, buy coin, weaponize wattage.
The Dark Corners (Fraudfather Lens)
Custody Cat-and-Mouse
Bill says “cold storage under a qualified custodian.” Translation: third-party key-holder ripe for social-engineering. An attacker only needs one compromised state employee to unlock nine-figure value.Audit Theater
Annual public audits are mandated, but the statute is mum on realtime proof-of-reserve. A clever comptroller could rehypothecate, lend, or collateralize behind closed doors.Political Raid Risk
Today the reserve is sacrosanct. Wait until the next hurricane season or pension shortfall and watch how fast a “one-time emergency transfer” memo materializes. HB 4488’s firewall can be repealed with a midnight vote.
Game Theory from Here
Next Domino | Probability | What It Would Do |
|---|---|---|
Florida funds its own reserve | 60% | DeSantis won’t let Abbott hog the sound-money spotlight in an election year. |
Wyoming doubles down | 40% | Already the most crypto-friendly state; small treasury means even $5 M makes headlines. |
Federal pushback | 25% | Treasury or the Fed float “uniform digital-asset guidelines for states” to reassert control. |
Energy-credit swap | 15% | ERCOT offers miners tax credits to sell BTC back to the state during grid crises, turning bitcoin into a peak-power hedge. |
What to Watch, What to Do
Track the Wallet. We’ll publish the reserve’s address once disclosed; follow inflows, outflows, and any exotic wrapping (lending, L2 bridges).
Monitor AFP on SOL & ETH. A fresh $10 M buy won’t rock BTC’s boat, but it can goose perp funding across majors as speculators front-run copy-cat bids.
Brace for Grift. Every county commissioner with a burner phone will now pitch “local bitcoin reserve” bonds. Filter noise; watch legislation, not roadside billboards.
Fraudfather Bottom Line
Texas just stapled bitcoin to the Lone Star flag and dared the rest of America to salute, or scream. The amount is symbolic, the signal seismic. Whether you stack sats in Austin, Ankara, or Accra, understand the play: public treasuries have started converting tax receipts into 21-million-capped digital script.
The fraudsters will adapt, the regulators will bluster, and the miners will keep humming under the Texas sun.
Table of Contents
KillChain Signals & Readouts: Deep Dives

Battlefield Intelligence: What the Numbers Truly Reveal.
This isn't a dashboard. This is a tactical briefing, peeling back the layers on the market's core assets. We’re watching capital currents, decoding hidden layers, and positioning for the next market swing. Use this intelligence to move through the fog of war.

BTC is cruising between rounds, gloves up, breathing steady, but still waiting for a fresh water bottle.
Bitcoin (BTC)
Data cut-off: 26 Jun 2025 @ 07:00 UTC
Signal | Latest Read | KillChain Tactical Read |
|---|---|---|
MVRV Z-Score | 2.36 (24 Jun) | Price sits a safe two steps below the “overhyped” zone; rally still healthy, not euphoric. |
Aggregate Funding Pulse (AFP) | +0.007 % / 8 h (OI-weighted) | Traders lean long, but the fee they’re paying is pocket-change, confidence, not mania. |
Exchange Net-flows (24 h) | –4,548 BTC left exchanges (≈ –$0.48 B) | Whales are moving coins to cold storage; more hodling than dumping. |
Stable-coin Supply Ratio (SSR) | ≈ 8.2 (BTC mkt cap $2.135 T / stable-coin float $256 B) | Slightly more dry powder than last week, but still no overflowing ammo box. |
Funding-Rate Spread | Binance +0.0007 % vs. BitMEX –0.0061 % | Exchanges disagree; bulls and bears both have a voice; no single crowd in control. |
KillChain Tactical Readout for BTC:
No Froth, No Panic. Longs pay a tiny premium and MVRV is mid-range, market mood is confident, not cocky.
Coins Drifting to Cold Storage. Net-outflow says big holders are shelving BTC, reducing “for-sale” supply.
Ammo Still Thin. SSR dropped from 9.3 to 8.2, a small improvement, but we’re far from a liquidity flood.
Split Tape. Funding-rate tug-of-war signals choppy action; expect head-fakes until one side overcommits.
KillChain Playbook
Stick to partial profit-taking above $110 K. That’s where funding and MVRV will flash over-heated.
Add on sharp dips into the $99 K–$102 K band - whale cold-storage flows suggest solid buy interest there.
Watch AFP > +0.10 % + rising open interest. If fees for holding longs spike, tighten stops; momentum can reverse fast.
Monitor stable-coin float. A jump toward $300 B is your green light that new cash just joined the fight.
Bottom line: BTC is cruising between rounds, gloves up, breathing steady, but still waiting for a fresh water bottle. Keep your guard tight and your powder dry.

Ethereum is still the undervalued fortress in a cash-starved battlefield.
Ethereum (ETH)
Data cut-off: 26 Jun 2025 @ 07:00 UTC
Signal | Latest Read | KillChain Tactical Read |
|---|---|---|
MVRV Z-Score | ≈ 0.25 (24 Jun) | Price now sits just above the average holder’s cost. ETH has crawled out of the bargain basement but isn’t anywhere near bubble territory. |
Aggregate Funding Pulse (AFP) | +0.0098 % / 8 h (Binance-weighted) | Leverage tilts long; traders are willing to pay up, but the fee is small; confidence, not FOMO. |
Funding-Rate Spread | Binance +0.0098 % vs. Coinglass composite +0.0100 % | Different venues show almost identical mild-bullish fees; market bias is aligned but still gentle. |
Exchange Net-flows (7d) | ≈ –620 k ETH pulled from exchanges since mid-June | Whales keep vacuuming coins into self-custody; tradable supply shrinks. |
Stable-coin Context | $252 B global float; roughly $128 B (50 %) already lives on Ethereum | Half the dry powder is sitting inside ETH’s own walls, ready to redeploy fast once sentiment flips risk-on. |
KillChain Tactical Readout for ETH:
Value Pocket, Not Hot Air – A lightly positive MVRV says ETH is no longer “on clearance,” yet far from overpriced.
Leverage Under Control – Funding fees are positive but tiny; longs have conviction without reckless margin.
Float Keeps Drying Up – Six-hundred-plus-thousand ETH yanked off exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure.
Ammo Waiting Inside the Castle – With half of all stablecoins already native to Ethereum, any fresh risk appetite can ignite price quickly.
KillChain Playbook
Accumulate on quick dips below $2,300. Negative MVRV + ongoing whale withdrawals would flash a bargain signal.
Trim above $2,700 if AFP jumps past +0.10 %. Spiking funding fees tell you longs are getting crowded.
Set an alert for stable-coin supply jumps. A $20 B+ surge in USDC/DAI float is your green light for the next leg higher.
Watch ETH/BTC ratio. Continued rise confirms capital rotating down the risk curve; bullish for ETH.
Bottom line: Ethereum is still the undervalued fortress in a cash-starved battlefield. Whales are emptying the moat, half the ammo is stored inside, and leverage is behaving. Load quietly, keep stops sane, and wait for the spark.

Solana is the high-speed rail loaded with fresh fuel while the broader market runs on fumes.
Solana (SOL)
Data cut-off: 26 Jun 2025 @ 07:00 UTC
Signal | Latest Read | KillChain Tactical Read |
|---|---|---|
MVRV Z-Score | 0.65 (24 Jun) | SOL is priced only a touch above holders’ cost; still a “coiled spring,” not an overheated flyer. |
Aggregate Funding Pulse (AFP) | +0.012 % / 8 h (OI-weighted) | Leverage tilts long and the fee is creeping up; growing confidence but not yet a FOMO frenzy. |
Funding-Rate Spread | Binance +0.013 % vs. OKX +0.005 % | All venues bullish, but Binance traders are paying double, signs of hot money clustering there first. |
Exchange Net-flows (30d) | ≈ –190 k SOL left exchanges since late May | Tradable supply keeps shrinking; whales are tucking coins into cold wallets. |
Native USDC Mint (May 25) | $250 M fresh USDC on Solana | A quarter-billion dollars of stable-coin ammo now lives natively on-chain; fuel in the chamber. |
KillChain Tactical Readout for SOL:
Price Still in Launch-Pad Zone – An MVRV well below 1 keeps SOL in “watch-list cheap” territory.
Leverage Heating, Not Boiling – Funding fees are rising but still small; longs are adding but not in panic chase-mode.
Float Vacuum Continues – Roughly 190 k SOL drained off exchanges tightens the float; price can pop on modest demand.
On-Chain Ammo Ready – The recent $250 M USDC mint gives Solana its own stockpile; no bridge friction when risk appetite returns.
KillChain Playbook
Add in small bites between $145–$155. As long as MVRV stays below 1 and AFP under +0.05 %, odds favor an upside coil.
Secure partial gains north of $190 if AFP rockets past +0.10 %. Crowded longs can flip to a flush fast.
Track native-USDC velocity. If that $250 M starts flowing into DeFi TVL or DEX volume, expect a quick price response.
Watch for another mega-mint or ETF headline. A second $200 M+ USDC print or spot-ETF rumor is likely tripwire for a breakout.
Bottom line: Solana is the high-speed rail loaded with fresh fuel while the broader market runs on fumes. Supply keeps tightening, leverage is only warming, and native stable-coin ammo is in place. When this coil snaps, it will slam, not stroll. Stay loaded, stay lethal.
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New Signal in the Chain: Aggregate Funding Pulse (AFP)
Code Name: “The Leverage Gauge”
What AFP Actually Measures
A time-weighted blend of the 8-hour perpetual-swap funding rates on Binance, Bybit, OKX, Deribit, and BitMEX, each weighted by its open interest:
AFP = Σ (FundingRateᵢ × OpenInterestᵢ) / Σ OpenInterestᵢ
AFP > +0.05 % / 8 h ➜ Longs are paying rich rent to stay levered—euphoria tax.
AFP < –0.05 % / 8 h ➜ Shorts are crowding the exit—squeeze tinder.
AFP ≈ 0 ➜ Leverage tilt is neutral; spot flows steer price.
Why We’re Deploying It Now
Derivatives dwarf spot. 24-hour perp volume now clears >$100 B—often double spot turnover. Ignoring funding is flying blind.
Real-time greed/fear meter. SOPR lags a block; funding resets every eight hours. We hear the cannon before we see the smoke.
Completes our liquidity trinity.
SSR = Ammo left
Netflows = Where coins move
AFP = How many bullets are borrowed
Current Read - 26 Jun 2025 @ 07:00 UTC
Metric | Latest | Tactical Read |
|---|---|---|
AFP (OI-weighted) | +0.007 % / 8 h | A slight tilt toward buyers; people are leaning long, but the market isn’t in hype mode. |
Funding Rate Spread | Binance +0.0007 % vs. BitMEX –0.0061 % | Exchanges disagree: some traders are modestly bullish, others modestly bearish, so the crowd isn’t moving in sync yet. |
Open Interest (majors) | $112 B notional | There’s a lot of leveraged money in play, but the total hasn’t surged this week; plenty of gunpowder, yet no new stampede. |
Tripwires & Plays
Condition | What it Likely Means | KillChain Move |
|---|---|---|
AFP > +0.10 % & OI↑ | Traders are piling on big leveraged long bets; market is getting overconfident. | Trim some profits, tighten your sell-stops, or buy a small hedge so a sudden drop doesn’t wipe you out. |
AFP < –0.10 % & OI↑ | Crowds are betting hard on prices falling; shorts are packed in. | Consider adding to your holdings or taking a small long trade; if the price pops, those shorts will rush to buy back. |
AFP flips negative while SOPR < 1 | Sellers are already taking losses and leverage is tilting bearish; panic pressure is easing. | Begin gradual accumulation; buy in small bites instead of all at once. |
AFP spikes & MVRV ≥ 4 | Leverage is rich and the asset looks overvalued; classic blow-off warning. | Lighten positions into the strength, lock in gains, and resist chasing new highs. |
KillChain Bottom Line
AFP is the stethoscope on crypto’s oxygen tank. When funding distorts, volatility detonates. Strap this “Leverage Gauge” next to SOPR and SSR and you’ll know who’s firing, how much ammo is left, and crucially, how many rounds are borrowed and due back at midnight. Stay lethal.
The KillChain After Action Report (AAR)

What Happened
Binance’s security team flagged a new two-step con: crooks pose as “Binance Support” on WhatsApp, Telegram, or Facebook, demanding (1) a short face-verification video or (2) that you scan a login QR code for “rewards.” Either action hands the attacker instant access to your account. One user narrowly escaped after scanning a QR code that auto-logged the scammer into her wallet; only a rapid freeze saved her funds. Binance says it’s hunting fake accounts 24/7, but stresses that official support never asks for face videos or off-site QR scans.
TokenPost amplifies Binance’s latest security bulletin: scammers are impersonating “Binance Support” on WhatsApp, Telegram, and Facebook, demanding either (a) a short face-verification video or (b) that users scan a “maintenance” QR . The deep-fake twist? The stolen selfie video lets attackers spoof Binance’s biometric login, while the QR code silently hands over a pre-authenticated session. One victim narrowly escaped a clean sweep after the scan auto-logged the thief into her wallet. Binance stresses that real support never asks for unsolicited videos or off-site QR scans.
Why It Matters to Your Wealth
A single selfie or QR scan can bypass every password you’ve set, drain your balances, and leave zero blockchain recourse. Two rules to keep your stack intact—whether you’re in Dallas or Dubai:
Never send identity videos or scan “support” codes sent via chat apps. If a request doesn’t originate inside the verified Binance app or website, treat it as hostile.
Harden the perimeter: enable hardware-key 2FA, use a unique email just for exchanges, and set instant withdrawal-address whitelists.
Remember: the most successful crypto heists don’t hack blockchains, they hack trust. One impulsive scan can turn your portfolio into the attacker’s exit liquidity. Stay lethal, stay skeptical.
Headlines Impacting Our Wealth

What Happened
A new RedStone × Gauntlet report says the value of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) has ballooned to $24 billion, up 380 % since 2022. Surprisingly, it’s not Treasury-bill tokens leading the charge but private-credit deals (direct-lending notes paying 8–12 % yields) that now make up $14 billion of the pie. Despite faster rivals, Ethereum still hosts 59 % of all RWA value (~$7.5 billion across 335 products). Solana, Aptos and Avalanche are nibbling market share, but ETH remains the institutional default.
Why It Matters to Your Wealth
Tokenized private-credit lets everyday and offshore investors slice into loans that were once gated to Wall-Street syndicates, delivering equity-like returns with bond-style cash-flow. For U.S. readers, that means you can park stablecoins in a compliant DeFi vault and earn mid-teens APY—but only if you vet issuer quality and jurisdictional recourse. International readers gain USD-linked yield without wiring funds into U.S. banks, yet must weigh FX controls and local tax codes. Big picture: Ethereum’s dominance reinforces our thesis that “value eventually settles back on the most battle-tested chain,” so ETH accrues security fees and narrative tailwinds. Treat tokenized credit the way you would a high-yield bond ETF, small position sizes, diversify issuers, and monitor on-chain proofs of reserve, because yield without diligence is just tomorrow’s default risk in a shinier wrapper.
What Happened
DeFi stable-asset platform ResupplyFi suffered a $9.6 million loss after an attacker used a classic price-manipulation play. By pumping the quoted value of its wstUSR collateral via a synthetic stablecoin (cvcrvUSD), the exploiter borrowed far more reUSD than the contract’s real collateral could cover, then bridged the haul to Ether and split it across fresh wallets, funded, of course, through Tornado Cash. ResupplyFi has paused the affected market and says the rest of the protocol is “safe,” but funds are gone and the post-mortem is still pending.
Why It Matters to Your Wealth
For yield chasers, domestic or offshore, this is a blunt reminder: smart-contract risk is the tax you pay for double-digit APY. Even a sub-$10 million hack can nuke an entire lending pool and freeze withdrawals overnight. Two takeaways:
Diversify protocol risk, not just tokens. Parking 100 % of your stablecoins in a single DeFi money-market is the digital equivalent of stuffing all your cash into one regional bank pre-SVB. Split exposure across audited platforms and chains.
Watch oracle design like you watch fees. Resupply’s oracle accepted a thin-liquidity synthetic as gospel; no circuit breaker, no sanity check. If a pool relies on anything more exotic than Chainlink’s main feed, size positions small enough that a total loss won’t crater your balance sheet.
Bottom line: juicy DeFi yield is never “passive income”; it’s an ongoing security audit you perform on your own money. Treat it, and size it, accordingly.
⚠️ KillChain Capital Disclaimer ⚠️
Informational & Educational Use Only
All content in this newsletter, including but not limited to market commentary, tactical read-outs, “buy-zone” language, and any linked training materials—is provided strictly for general, educational, and informational purposes. Nothing herein constitutes (or should be interpreted as) personalized investment, legal, accounting, or tax advice.
No Investment Recommendations
References to “accumulate,” “scale in,” “trim,” or similar calls to action are illustrative frameworks, not specific recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any digital asset, security, or derivative. You alone are responsible for evaluating the merits and risks associated with any use of the information provided before making any investment or trading decision. Consult a registered investment adviser or other qualified professional regarding your individual circumstances.
About the FraudFather:
The Fraudfather didn’t learn fraud from influencers or movies. He learned it chasing terrorists, flipping money launderers, and dismantling multi-million-dollar schemes, before most people knew what “DeFi” meant.
A former Senior Special Agent and Supervisory Intelligence Operations Officer, he spent over two decades tracking financial predators across borders, blockchains, and bureaucracies. From dark web forums to government war rooms, he’s seen every lie and loophole up close.
Now a “recovering” digital identity and cybersecurity executive, he’s turned his sights to teaching crypto, where old scams wear new skins, and smart contracts get played like slot machines.
Through The Fraudfather persona, he’s exposing how fraud really works on-chain:
How social engineers bypass wallet security
How cross-chain laundering pipelines stay hidden
How scammers weaponize human psychology faster than regulators can blink
This isn’t theory.
It’s operational intelligence, on-chain and in near real time.
Follow the Fraudfather and stay five moves ahead of the next exploit.
Fast Facts Regarding the Fraudfather:
Global Adventures: He’s been kidnapped in two different countries—but not kept for more than a day.
Uncommon Encounter: Former President Bill Clinton made him a protein shake.
Unusual Transactions: He inadvertently bought and sold a surface-to-air missile system.
Perpetual Patience: He spent 12 hours in an elevator.
Unique Conversations: He spoke one-on-one with Pope Francis for five minutes using reasonable Spanish.
Uncommon Hobbies: He discussed beekeeping with James Hetfield from Metallica.
Passion for Teaching: He taught teenagers archery in the town center of Kyiv, Ukraine.
Unlikely Math: Until the age of 26, he had taken off in a plane more times than he had landed.

